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Franklin FTSE Eurozone ETF

FLEU tracks a market cap weighted index of large- and mid-cap companies in the developed Eurozone. The currency exposure is not hedged.

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Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF

The first question for next week's European Central Bank meeting is how the Bank will react to current market pricing. The second, however, is why should the ECB react to current market pricing.

ECB Preview: Resisting The Pushback

Like their peers in the US, European stocks enjoyed quite a rally over the last two months of the year. In early December the STOXX 600 broke out above the resistance of the summer highs, and while momentum has slowed in the last couple of weeks, earlier this week the index experienced a golden cross.

European Golden Cross

iShares MSCI Europe Financials ETF

The European Central Bank (ECB) kept its key policy rates on hold today for the second consecutive meeting. The interest rate on the main refinancing operations, the marginal lending facility, and the deposit facility remain at 4.5%, 4.75% and 4.0%, respectively.

December ECB Meeting: A More Hawkish Stance Than The Fed

The ECB will almost surely keep rates on hold at the December meeting. The question is to what extent it will align with the market's aggressive pricing for rate cuts in 2024.

December's ECB Cheat Sheet: A Reality Check For Ultra-Dovish Expectations

The ECB hike cycle seems over, but the shockwaves of tightening will still shape the eurozone economy in 2024. Traditional lags in transmission are now accompanied by longer ones in average interest burden increases, potentially extending the impact of tightening.

2024 Set To Be The Year That The ECB Hike Cycle Is Felt

Next week's challenge for the European Central Bank is how to keep all options open without sounding too dovish but also not too detached from reality. The weak macro economic backdrop no longer justifies rate hikes, even for the hawks.

ECB Preview: The Long Dovish Shift

Slowing inflation, a cooling labour market, and lower expected corporate revenues make a peak in wage growth before the middle of next year likely. While the European Central Bank waits for clarity, this should open the door to earlier rate cuts than currently expected.

Eurozone Wage Growth Is Set To Peak Soon

Real GDP growth was minus one percent for the third quarter, while the PMI Index, a measure of economic health, has been in contractionary territory since the middle of this summer. Draghi's concerns about the Eurozone's economic prospects center on the fear that the region is falling further behind both the US and China in terms of global competitiveness.

Europe's Ongoing Malaise

Rising wages and higher incomes are boosting Europe's economic recovery, but policymakers may face challenges due to population aging and shrinking workforce. Demographics and shorter working weeks mean employers face fierce competition to find qualified workers and must pay more to retain them.

Europe's Wage Rises Are Aiding Recovery But Economies Face Risks

Eurozone growth turned negative in the third quarter and the next two quarters don't look very promising either. With inflation declining, the case for an additional rate hike is disappearing.

The Eurozone Is Flirting With Recession

Businesses report a slight tick-up in selling price expectations, but hard data still looks benign. Decline in the Economic Sentiment Indicator in October came as no surprise after the PMI had already dropped further into contraction territory.

Eurozone Economy Braces Itself For Prolonged Sluggishness

The European Central Bank increasingly seems to embrace the idea that the peak in policy rates has already been reached. After 10 consecutive hikes, the ECB's decision to leave policy rates unchanged should have been an easy one.

ECB: A Dovish Pause Now, A Peak Soon

With the exception of a brief period of growth during the opening quarter of 2023, euro area manufacturing output has decreased continuously since the middle of 2022. The downturn in new orders and the accelerated depletion of backlogs of orders prompted firms to reduce employment for the first time since January 2021.

Rising Recession Risks As Eurozone Flash PMI Falls In October, Price Pressures Ease Further

If anything, developments since the September meeting have made it even easier for the European Central Bank to pause at its next meeting. As much as the ECB has tried to keep the door to further rate hikes open since the September decision, recent developments have clearly complicated this position.

ECB Preview: The Best Moment To Pause

Tighter monetary policy is starting to work. Alternatives would be more costly. So far, so good. These words are probably a fair assessment of Europe's progress thus far in its struggle against inflation.

Europe Must Succeed In Restoring Price Stability

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The third-quarter was an average-to-downbeat period for investors, mainly due to rising rates.

Best & Worst ETF Areas of Q3

Eurozone business activity remained in contraction at the end of the third quarter of the year, as an increased rate of loss of orders led to a further decline in activity. The overall reduction in output was again led by manufacturing, but the service sector saw activity decrease for the second month running.

Eurozone Flash PMI Fuels Further Downturn Worries As Demand Weakness Intensifies

The ECB just announced its tenth consecutive policy rate hike since July last year, hiking all interest rates by 25bp. Higher inflation and inflation forecasts look like the main drivers of the hike.

ECB Announces Final Rate Hike

ProShares UltraShort Euro

Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Trust

ProShares Ultra Euro

Markets are torn. Will the ECB hike this week or not?

ECB Cheat Sheet: Is A Hike Hawkish Enough?

Inflation in the eurozone did not fall in August, which could tip the ECB in favour of a final 25bp hike at the governing council meeting in two weeks' time. Still, overall inflation dynamics remain relatively benign, and we still expect inflation to trend much lower at the end of the year.

Eurozone Inflation Stagnates Ahead Of ECB September Meeting

Eurozone business activity contracted at an accelerating pace in August, according to the latest flash PMI survey data. The overall rate of input cost inflation and selling prices remained indicative of consumer price inflation running at an annual rate of 3% in the coming months.

Eurozone Downturn Deepens According To Flash PMI But Inflation Pressures Tick Higher

Another weak PMI for the eurozone confirms a sluggish economy with recession as a downside risk. Inflation pressures for services remain stubborn as wage pressures continue to be a concern.

Eurozone PMI Paints Worrisome Growth Picture

As the ECB has been putting increasing emphasis on the recent readings of underlying inflation, it is more important to look at the short-term dynamics than at the year-on-year figures. While some easing of inflationary tensions is indeed observable, it would be premature to exclude another rate hike.

News for Franklin FTSE Eurozone ETF ETF (FLEU)