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iShares MSCI Brazil ETF

EWZ tracks a market-cap-weighted index of Brazilian firms covering the entire market-cap spectrum.

Brazil faces rising inflation and a record fiscal deficit, causing iShares MSCI Brazil ETF to drop 19% in 2024 while the S&P 500 gained 20%. The Brazilian real has deeply weakened against the U.S. dollar, driven by fiscal concerns and rising interest rates. EWZ's P/E ratio has risen to 8.5x, which remains the lowest among most emerging countries.

EWZ: A Cautionary Tale Of Fiscal Struggles And Currency Chaos

Brazilian equities have underperformed both global stocks and their EM counterparts quite significantly this year. EWZ is the largest Brazilian-themed ETF around, but the next largest offering - FLBR - is gaining interest and with good reason. Trading volumes in the Brazilian equity markets have come off quite significantly as the Central Bank's ongoing rate stance has made fixed income more attractive.

EWZ: Not Ideal, But Don't Write It Off Either

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Brazilian equities have gained 15.16% post-Black Monday, driven by the outperformance of financial stocks, positive external news, and mixed internal news. The largest tracking ETF is at its lowest five-year AUM, and higher risk appetites with a soft landing could attract foreign inflows at a rapid pace due to cheap valuations. Inflation deviating from the target, along with the appointment of a new central bank president, raises uncertainty. Yet, the opportunity outweighs the cons.

EWZ: Opportunities Outweigh The Monetary Policy Uncertainty

To invest in the Brazilian stock market, I chose the EWZ ETF because it is more liquid, even though it has fewer holdings and is more expensive than its peers. The economic prospects for Brazil are positive, and the country's stock market performance significantly lags behind its GDP growth. The lowering of Fed rates can stimulate the growth of commodity prices and emerging market stocks, including Brazil.

EWZ: Why It Could Be A Good Time To Invest In Brazil

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Equities here in the US have gotten off to a weak start this month, with the S&P 500 down modestly over the past couple of sessions. The US-traded ETF that tracks Mexican stocks is down 8.3% month-to-date and 12.3% year-to-date.

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The EWZ tracks the performance of the MSCI Brazil index, which is dominated by commodity stocks and characterised by a high dividend yield and cheap valuations. Sentiment towards Brazilian stocks has been undermined by the government's decision to replace the CEO of oil giant Petrobras, raising fears of further government intervention into the corporate sector. The ETF is extremely undervalued relative to its own history and EM peers, and its high FCF and dividend yield suggest it should outperform even if the discount remains intact.

EWZ: Worth The Risk Despite Lula Intervention

With changes in global geopolitics, Brazil is positioning itself as a great investment alternative in emerging markets. Brazil has strong competitive advantages in agriculture, mining and the oil industry. The country is positioned to be a big player in the energy transition. Despite its companies' excellent return on equity, EWZ trades at a 27% discount to its emerging market peers.

EWZ: High Return, Cheap Valuation And Prominent Position - Buy

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China and Hong Kong markets had a humbling 2023 with equities down more than 10%. Beijing has also begun stepping up tourism and travel promotions, granting visa-free entry to 11 countries, with Singapore and Thailand the latest to be included.

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Brazil's central bank has slashed rates as inflation subsides. The boost to consumers and corporate borrowers should juice earnings of listed companies.

Brazil Is Having a Great Time. 5 Stocks to Play.

The iShares MSCI Brazil ETF has outperformed its emerging market peers, rising 85% since its lows in 2021. This outperformance has been driven by a narrowing of Brazil's valuation discount, and there is room for this to narrow further, supported by economic and currency stability. The EWZ, along with Brazilian assets more generally, have suffered significant outflows since 2020, and a return of foreign investors could propel the next phase of the bull market.

EWZ: Brazil's Bull Market Maybe Entering Its Next Phase

ETFs that own many stocks, which are all based in one country, can be very valuable for American investors. That's because these ETFs, known as country ETFs, allow American retail investors to benefit from a nation's economic strength without having to intensively evaluate the outlook of individual companies based there.

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The iShares MSCI Brazil ETF is set for a successful year with significant gains, approaching all-time highs amid a skeptical global economic landscape. Brazil's stock market had a stellar November, driven by positive indicators like anticipated interest rate cuts and a stable exchange rate. Brazil faces fiscal challenges, with declining revenue and ongoing spending, potentially resulting in a 1% GDP deficit by year-end. Government policies resemble past interventionist strategies.

EWZ: Attractive Now, But Signs Of A 'Flash In The Pan' In Brazil's Economic Future

Brazil stocks are at a 20-year valuation low. Trade surplus on commodity exports supports currency. Politics and institutional dysphoria provide risk and volatility.

EWZ: Cheap And Volatile

One of the nice things about interviewing over 500 thought leaders in the realm of investing and finance on my podcast Lead-Lag Live is getting exposure to new investment ideas and tracking really smart people's arguments for where to turn attention to next. On X, Tavi Costa, who I had on not too long ago, showed an interesting chart of the MSCI Brazil index.

Forget the Magnificent 7. Jump Into Brazilian Stocks Instead.

EWZ exhibited a cumulative performance of 9.5% in 2023, propelled by optimism in the first half and expectations of interest rate reductions. The country's GDP grew by 0.9% in the second quarter, driven by consumer spending, services, and government expenditures. The fiscal situation remains challenging, with a decrease in tax revenues and a primary deficit, which may impact the country's inflation and economic outlook.

EWZ: Cautious Optimism Amidst Slowing Interest Rate Trends

EWZ iShares MSCI Brazil ETF has shown signs of recovery in September after a decline in August. Business activity in Brazil has slowed, inflation is ticking higher, and fiscal uncertainties have weakened the Brazilian real. While short-term challenges persist, the long-term investment outlook for Brazilian equities remains positive, with historically low valuations and the potential for favorable returns for patient investors.

EWZ: Weathering Short-Term Turbulence, Still Undeniably Cheap

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Emerging market equities currently trade with cheap prices and valuations, and above-average yields. Latin American equities doubly so. EWZ is a simple Brazilian equities index ETF, and offers investors exposure to a cheap, high-yielding equity market.

EWZ: Brazilian Equity Index ETF, Strong 8.8% Yield, Cheap Valuation, Positive Momentum

News for iShares MSCI Brazil ETF ETF (EWZ)